The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. Accuracy is not guaranteed. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . June 2, 2016. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. They also have a good or bad use of polling on the topic of death and consider whether a recent Facebook hearing will lead to new regulations for the monolithic technology company. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. Edit your transcribed text. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. The crew debates the value of polling whether Americans want Biden and Trump to run again in 2024. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. A message from Martine. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. MANAGER'S SALARY. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . . The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. 266, the . Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. Happy holidays! Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. Galen speaks with him. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. heritage commons university of utah. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. 450 episodes. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. Instagram did not return a 200. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. You can't imitate a worldview. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. Saturday, February 25, 2023. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. The Supreme Court Not So Much. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. Today those numbers have flipped. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision.
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