bellwether counties epoch times

Of the 19 bellwether counties that have consistently voted for the presidential winner since 1980, all but one chose Trump, the Journal found, PJ Media reported. Rural white America is principally Trump, and they are ripe for conspiracy theories. Only one, Clallam County in Washington, went for former Vice President Joe Biden and only by about a three-point margin. I believe in a time cycle. Your email address will not be published. In 2020 the expansion also began generating $898,000 a year for the next 15 years for Lake Local Schools. Mike DeWine is running for reelection and facing candidates Joe Blystone, Jim Renacci, and Ron Hood in the primary. They were particularly representative in 2012, when the average 1980-to-2016 bellwether county was just 0.8 points more Democratic than the nation. The upper Midwest, upstate New York, and northern New England are home to a disproportionate share of high scoring counties, they said. Unfortunately, however, neither of the reasons for why we might think that previous bellwethers will continue to be bellwethers is valid. People are so worked up about it all the time, stressed out. Federalist: 5 Ways Biden Unusually Outperformed Norms The counties are also mostly small and rural. They are not even the regular masks to filter it out. Right after we saw the results of the election and that Trump had lost, we were all like, what the hell?, said Tammy, a bartender at Wee Willys Sports Pub in Marblehead. Fannin plans to vote in person and is pretty sure Trump will win a second term, but hes concerned about the integrity of the mail-in ballots. Bellwethers arent a crystal balltheir streak was expected to end sooner or later. The updated report showed that Biden won 509 counties, while Trump won 2,547 counties. Two states have announced recounts. While Zulch said he voted for Trump in both presidential elections, he says hell have to wait and see who runs before saying who he would vote for in 2024. In 2020, amid widespread accusations of Democrat cheating, these bellwethers were not even close checking in at a mind-blowing 6%! Carol Jacobs and her husband were lifelong Democrats until 2016. Donald Trump 16 out of 39 counties which are considered significant bellwethers. SACRAMENTO . The majority of rural America are our hard-working, blue-collar workers. The price of gas at the Marathon gas station in Port Clinton was $3.39 a gallon on Feb. 22 whenDave Beggs, anarmy veteran and retired City of Port Clinton heavy equipment operator, pulled in. I think Trump was the better president, said Beggs, who worked for the city for 45 years. Sam said he has noticed that the farmers arent happy, and their kids have to take a side job in the factory because of the economic situation. I think its very political right now, honestly. They've been dubbed "bellwether counties" and until this year,. Another Ridgway resident said hes more enthusiastic to vote for Trump this year. Whether you respect the man or not, he is still the president of the United States and you should respect that.. A diverse group of residents, many were surprised to wake up the morning of Nov. 4, 2020, to see that Joe Biden overtook Trumps leads in numerous battleground states from the night beforesuch as in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. He was an apprentice and then a journeyman in a local steamfitters union for about 10 years before he was laid off. The way the system works now, if you get in as a young person on something small, its very hard to get out. Those are the biggest issuesthe economy and national security. I know a lot of people dont like him, because of his tweets and things that he says, and I kind of agree with that. Now the places emerging as possible new bellwethers have more racially diverse populations. Not as large or as well-known as its more eastern cousin, Luzerne County, where much of the election attention has been focused, Elk County is just as accurate in predicting who will be the next commander in chief. Miller cited seeing some retail and light industrial development around the county in recent yearsa Bass Pro Shops store in Bowling Green, a 1 million-square-foot expansion for First Solar in Perrysburg in 2018, and downtown revitalization in Bowling Green. We find that bellwether success is almost entirely a matter of random coin tosses in multiple counties over time to create an appearance of predictive power that is a matter of chance. She only voted once, at the urging of her husband, when they got married about 30 years ago. You have to take the lesser of two evils. Logistically, its a disaster. But, he said, most mainstream politicians dont represent rural America, and issues such as boys that identify as girls and then compete in girls high school sports just smack of stupid., The economy and taxes are important issues to him, but the question he asks of the candidate is, Does this person care about my family?. If that date were to change, the Ohio legislature is the only one who can request to postpone or change the date of an election through legislative action.. He loves this country. He worked in HVAC repair with the local pipefitters union and also owns a small concession business, setting up at events. Its a county where the residents are proud of its powdered metal factories and where the Ford F-Series is as ubiquitous as the American flag. Third, it lists the fraction of bellwether counties each candidate won Obama at 18 of 19, Trump at 18 of 19 and Biden at one of 19. I just dont think hes capable of doing the job that its going to require of him.. January 4, 2021: Rep. Jordan tweets an Epoch Times article about his effort to challenge Electoral College votes. President Trump won every single bellwether county, except Clallam County in Washington. Growth in recent years has been a challenge, if not nonexistent, he said. Miller is often faced with tough decisions in his business. The Democrats who are vying for that partys nomination are Morgan Harper, Traci Johnson, and Tim Ryan, who has been serving in Congress for the past 2o years, or 10 consecutive terms. Thus, as polarization rises, the potential for counties shifting their mean party preference across different elections declines. Its going to cause stealing, probably more riots, and all that., Weve had flu around forever, different strains of it. The Upper Mississippi River Valley and it [sic] surrounding area, in particular, appears to be an epicenter of these high-scoring bellwethers., Teresa Shepherd, resident of the Indiana bellwether county of Vigo, in front of her daughters house in Seelyville, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. Peoples common sense level is cooked. Bellwethers must make correct predictions regardless of which party wins election, but polarization makes it increasingly likely that counties will split into ones that vote regularly for a Republican or for a Democratic presidential nominee. Trump is challenging the results in several states, alleging fraud, voter suppression, and illegal restrictions on Republican poll watchers. Competing for the Democratic nomination are John Cranley and former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley. That was a blow to the area, Miller said about Peloton ending its plans for a $400 million project. Its crazy. Second, when we examine a short string of elections, we do indeed, find that some counties go with the winner in all (or virtually all the elections). The City Center festival continued with Kyiv City Ballet, a Christopher Wheeldon duet and a daring work for Dayton Contemporary Dance Company. But its still anyones game when taking into account the 1.2 million unaffiliated or other-party voters and the roughly 70 percent voter turnout. Armagost was lucky during the shutdowns, as bike shop repairs and maintenance were considered essential and he remained in business. In 2020, Vigo went for Trump by nearly 15 points, roughly the same as in 2016. All the negativity, and just pure anger for this one person in office I have never seen it before. The researchers also mapped all American counties (over 3,000) by their bellwether scorethat is their record of voting for the overall winner in each of the previous 10 presidential electionsgiving progressively larger weight to more recent elections. Also, spare a thought for Webster County in Georgia. The Epoch Times - YouTube Natural gas is a key ingredient in the process used to make the nitrogen-based fertilizer used on crops such as corn and wheat. 2020: Trump - 59.1%, Biden - 38.5. The upper Midwest, upstate New York, and northern New England are home to a disproportionate share of high-scoring counties, they said. It hurts the older people like me who are on a fixed income.. The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. Here, a farming operation is pictured in Bowling Green, Ohio in Wood County, a bellwether county in America's Heartland experiencing problems such as inflation and high gas prices, affecting every day life. High scoring bellwether counties in these regions tend to border other high scoring counties, unlike their counterparts in the South and West, which tend to see high scoring bellwethers somewhat isolated from each other. But the thing that stuck out in my head, every time I read or listened to anything about [Obamas] policies, I saw such a deep revival of division, causing division between the blacks and the whites again, Jacobs said on Sept. 17. She registered as a Democrat about 40 years ago and has never bothered to change her affiliation, although she voted for Trump in 2016 and plans to do the same this year. For example, across seven elections, we would expect to see 28 bellwether counties. He said Vigo County is fairly evenly divided between those who identify as Republicans and those who identify as Democrats. bellwether counties epoch times The Epoch Times spoke with some voters in Terre Haute and surrounding towns on Oct. 20 to get a glimpse of the bellwether mood ahead of the presidential election. We need jobs up here, good-paying full-time jobs, she added. He doesnt take the money; hes got the money. (Cara Ding/The Epoch Times). And its never going to come back.. The counties are also mostly small and rural. What happened to our Democratic Party? County Legislature Approves Revised $75 Million ARPA Spending Plan 2016 Trump. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. In 2016, Pennsylvania itself was wrenched out of its 24-year run as a Democratic sure bet when Donald Trump cleared just over 44,000 more votes than Hillary Clinton and took the states prized 20 electoral votes. For much of the last decade, historically Republican suburban areas in Franklin, Ohio,. These 3 Virginia Congressional Races Could Be 'National Bellwether He likes that Trump upholds law and order amid the social unrest. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout, nationally, according to census data. How could the 'bellwether counties' get it so wrong? HOW THE SPECTER OF COMMUNISM IS RULING OUR WORLD. Edie Martin is struggling to get her diner back in the black after being closed for almost three months over the pandemic. He says hell vote for Trump. The bellwether scores map highlights the fact that many states have a good bellwether county or two, even if they did not make the list of the 19 counties which have always voted for the winning candidate, they said. The counties that predict presidential election winners didn't this He says hes going to vote for the lesser of two evils.. Ottawa County is also the home to the Marblehead lighthouse (the oldest lighthouse in continuous operation on the Great Lakes), Africa Wildlife Safari, and its county seat of Port Clinton is known as the Walleye Capital of the World. I just want Trump in. Although longtime county residents say that Wood County is in pretty good shape overallas there has been some recent industrial development on its north sideit also has been affected by national issues such as inflation, the price of gasoline, supply chain issues, and workforce shortages. That streak, which extended back to when the county supported Harry Truman became president ended in the 2020 Presidential Election when the Donald Trump won the county. Martin plans to turn up at the polling booth on Election Day. Here's why. With unfounded fraud claims swirling, red California county dumps Were going to shift from a materialistic world to a more conscious and spiritual world, he said. They can try all they can to prevent whatever they want to prevent, but nature is going to run its course, no matter what, Tisdell said. In addition to Florida Gov. The 2012 outcome seemed to be the beginning of a more robust shift to the right for the countywhile the state reelected Obama, Elk County had already moved on. He voted for Trump in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections and said hed vote for him again if he were the Republican nominee. The issues most important to Jacobs are immigration, the health care system, and socialism. We have to stand and fight for the constitution our forefathers created. If it is not demographically representative counties or politically competitive counties which are the bellwethers, why then do we find bellwethers? We use cookies on this site to understand how you use our content, and to give you the best browsing experience. To accept cookies, click continue. Both Jacobs and her husband switched to Republican and Ive never looked back, she said. With the price of gas going up, Zulch is afraid of a return to high fuel prices caused by Hurricane Katrina in Louisiana 16 years ago and that soaring costs will again hurt his business. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Peloton plans to complete construction on the building on its 200-acre property and sell it, but will downsize its workforce. One older woman with a Biden sign outside her home simply said, Im voting for Biden, and thats all Ive got to say.. He soon lost his car, because he fell behind on license plate fees. Only 1 of 17 bellwether counties went for Biden this year! Jacobs said she absolutely intends to vote in person on Nov. 3. I hope.. I mean the whole world ought to be mad at China, we should all be going to war against them. I vote for whoever I think is going to do the best job, Sam added. Fact check: These 5 election statistics do not discredit Joe - Yahoo! The issues most important to Fannin include the economy, border security, and the virus. Portman wont be seeking reelection; seven Republicans are competing in the primary election for the partys nomination: Matt Dolan, Mike Gibbons, Josh Mandel, Neil Patel, Mark Pukita, Jane Timken, and J.D. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. For example, if we call a county a bellwether if it has one less correct match than the number of elections in a sequence, we will get nearly 19 bellwethers even in a set of eleven elections, and in a set of seven elections, we will see 197 bellwethers far more than the 27 we would find under our assumptions when we require a bellwether to have an unblemished record of predictive success. Sawyer County, Wisconsin, and Clallam County, Washington, have substantial Native American populations, the authors said. If you own a business and you have a bad summer where it rains every weekend, youre out of luck.. HOW THE SPECTER OF COMMUNISM IS RULING OUR WORLD. Now, just because my president is Republican, I expected a swing to the right, but what we have nowthey broke the whole pendulum.

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