1 status. Brown has always been a strong contributor inside the five-yard line scoring 9 rushing touchdowns in the last two years in that hot zone. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. Now we can extinguish any hopes of Jacobs getting more involved in the passing game. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. Single Perhaps the political and social issues depicted in 'The Grapes of Wrath" were too controversial. His value is trending in the wrong direction. Here are the NFL running backs with the most career touchdown runs over 50 yards (based on stats through 2016). A veteran, a trade, or another team's roster cut is more likely to be the bigger threat. The current regime did not select Robinson. This is more important for Barkley than most backs because he relies on his immense gifts more than most backs. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. Even if he isn't named the Saints' starting quarterback, Hill's continued presence in the red zone and at the goal-line infringes on Kamara's touchdown opportunity. Wait until next year. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History By Paul Ladewski on August 3, 2021 Chris O'Meara / AP Photo Before franchise quarterbacks took pro football hostage, there was something known as franchise running backs. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Manchester City's most overrated players in the Premier League Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. Why Bo Jackson is the Most Overrated Player of All Time Arizona Cardinals: All-time underrated, overrated players Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. Brown has more power and better acceleration and change-of-direction quickness than Gaskin, who is the better receiver. He didnt have a top 5 offensive line, so that eliminates the argument that he was made by the offensive line. It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. most overrated running backs of all time - flicks4fun.com Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. Every Prem club's most overrated player and Arsenal fans must end And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. Victoria Geary: Sanders had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). When I was comparing Bettis stats to the the 3 RBs I mentioned above, I saw that Bettis was highly overrated. Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. He was a liability during pass plays because of his inability to catch passes. Got the exact same number of carries as Williams. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY =. His fantasy value was bolstered late in the year due to an insane usage rate in the passing game, seeing a whopping 8.6 targets per game when Alex Smith started. There are backs going after Chubb who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; Jason Wood: Jacobs was the only projected Raiders offensive starter to play in the Hall of Fame game, which should be a blaring red flag for how much new head coach Josh McDaniels values Jacobs as a centerpiece. Jason Wood: Williams has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy back for years. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. He also is a touchdown liability -- he's scored 5, 6, and 4 touchdowns in three of his four seasons (11 the other season), which had led to finishing outside the Top 25 each of those years. When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. Take a chance on a committee back in the same range who might emerge into a starter or become one due to injury. Tevin Coleman was specifically brought in because he knows the run-blocking schemes the Jets will employ this year, and Ty Johnson hasn't gone anywhere either. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. I would probably rank him around 43. Links to similar discussions on other positions: 12 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends28 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 10 Quarterbacks12 Tight Ends23 Wide Receivers25 Running Backs, 9 Quarterbacks11 Tight Ends15 Wide Receivers13 Running Backs. Avoid. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. Madden 21 Ratings: NFL's most underrated and overrated players The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders as an every-down back. Can he still be fantasy-relevant? That looks like a mistake from where the situation sits now. While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. Martin is one of the best running backs of all time because he blended good ability with outstanding durability and versatility. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. I'm out. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league to put up those huge numbers over that finishing stretch. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. . He has had 9,088 receiving+rushing yards over his career. Gordon caught only 32 passes last year, and outside of three games where he scored two touchdowns, he was a mediocre fantasy back. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. Is the 40 Yard Dash the Most Overrated Test for Running | STACK J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Marcus Allen 15. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. NFL career: 1988-91, all with Cincinnati Bengals (4 seasons) Statistics/16 games: 659.5 rush yards/4.6 yards per . Drafters are still grabbing David Johnson due to projected volume, yet in their first preseason game, Houston utilized Phillip Lindsay on first and second downs with the starters while David Johnson was restricted to a third-down role. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. The role we envisioned for Johnson is already in question. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. Gibson was even in the game after Robinson was out. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. 24 Overrated RBs. Travis Etienne, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB26 | Consensus Projections RB26. Then as soon as they go south, we pile on like kids in a mosh pit? Leave him there for the next guy to take him. 20 20. Color me skeptical Sanders has a new ceiling for receiving production with Scott and Gainwell passing game-centric options, and Howard could be a goal-line option. This is a major factor to any expectation that Robinson is fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the very early weeks in the season. Frank: Most overrated and underrated Eagles: RBs | RSN After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. Unfortunately for him, the team replaced the coaching staff that he impressed and signed veteran Carlos Hyde and drafted Travis Etienne in the first round. Gibson is more likely to lose his job than return a significant profit on his draft price. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season. 5 / 30. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. Jeff Haseley: Clyde Edwards-Helaire has all of the tools and skills to be a successful fantasy back but failing to finish runs in the end zone has slowed his progress. Unfortunately, the odds are stacked against Kamara repeating as the best player in fantasy football. most overrated running backs of all time. San Francisco 49ers: All-time underrated, overrated players - NFL.com The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. Even if he receives most of the early-down and passing game work, it still wont be very valuable on a putrid offense. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. But Gordon averaged more yards per carry last year than Williams. It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. Brown should have a role, most likely on early downs and at the goal-line, which would sink Gaskins chances of living up to his ADP. The Top Ten 1 David Beckham David Robert Joseph Beckham is (born 2 May 1975) is an English former professional footballer, the current president & co-owner of Inter Miami CF and co-owner of Salford City.. The Steelers were 23rd in red zone attempts per game in 2020 and were ranked as having the fourth-worst offensive line ahead of the 2021 season by Pro Football Focus. Yeah, us, too. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time - TheTopTens Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. His ADP has not shot up the draft boards as quickly as he propelled into fantasy relevance last year due to the almost non-existent target share he received in the passing game. Adding another trip around the sun and competition from two young, capable running backs is the recipe for the bottom to fall out for Gordon. Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. From Weeks 13 through 17, Dobbins received a measly two total targets from quarterback Lamar Jackson. Every Prem club's most overrated player and Arsenal fans must end He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. He rewarded those believers with an RB18 PPG season. His week one status is in doubt, and there are reports he may not be ready for 12-15 touch workloads until October. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Barkley is a workhorse. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. Only he and Jim brown had a full career average of 5.0 ypc lifetime. Most overrated players in Madden 21 J.J. Watt, defensive end, Houston Texans. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. Victoria Geary: The Ravens have "made it a point of emphasis" to get Dobbins more looks in the passing game for 2021, but we know coach speak isn't very trustworthy during the offseason. Additionally, Brandon Bolden -- a member of Josh McDaniels' Patriot teams -- is with the club. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. I'll pass on Barkley at cost. As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders to be an every-down back. At 5-foot-6 and 191 pounds, Cohen is too small and one-dimensional to be used as a lead back even if David Montgomery gets hurt. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his current ADP of RB13 and 20th overall. Thats the first thing we notice. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Thurman Thomas 14. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. I understand the upside, but I don't want to take a huge miss if I'm drafting in Week 1. Best Football Running Backs of All Time - TheTopTens On top of these issues, the Texans added Rex Burkhead, Mark Ingram II, and Philip Lindsay to compete for touches. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB14 | Consensus Projections RB10. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. In 2020, James Conner ranked 36th and Benny Snell ranked 54th in expected yards-per-carry out of 55 qualifiers, a sign of a weak offensive line and scheme. Jeff Haseley: Chase Edmonds scored in five different games in 2020, exceeding eight carries in a game only twice in 15 qualifying games. 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History | Stadium Talk At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. . 9 out of the 13 years Bettis played in the NFL he averaged less than 4 yards per carry. Ronaldinho is also one of the finest players of all time and the global icon dazzled with his Brazilian flair for across Europe, most notably for Barcelona and AC Milan. Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. LaDainian Tomlinson 6. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs - Bleacher Report Even last year, as the Panthers starter, he averaged just 3.9 yards-per-carry. While Jacobs is capable of a bell-cow role, McDaniels has a long history of maddening running back usage as the Patriots OC. McKissic this offseason and added Alabama running back Brian Robinson Jr Jr. in the 3rd round of the NFL draft. Ricky Watters 20. Johnson himself has acknowledged it, and the backs' usage in the first preseason game indicates frustration for anyone wanting to farm this barren land. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. Search my work, about me, and maybe -if I ever get around to it - my blog. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. "Footballguys is the best premiumfantasy football For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs. Eric Dickerson 8. Jason Wood: Sometimes fate aligns, and that's what happened for Mike Davis last year in Carolina. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup But, man, there are all sorts of asterisks to add to that description. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. Jonathan Morris: As soon as Josh McDaniels came into the picture as the new head coach of the Raiders, my valuation of Jacobs immediately went down. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. His ADP says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, but he's still being overvalued at his current price. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. Drew Davenport: Through nine games last year, Montgomery was the 26th ranked PPR running back in points per game at 12.2 a contest. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. There are some people who will say he was the most overrated running back in history because he was 1-5 in the playoffs, and he never won a Super . Marshall Faulk 7. However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? But you do have to attribute some of his success to his top 10 run blocking. Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time - TheTopTens Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. Phil Alexander: The epic stretch-run that led Montgomery to an RB4 finish in 2020 came with Tarik Cohen sidelined and against the defenses of Green Bay, Detroit, Houston, Minnesota, and Jacksonville, respectively. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. His retirement all but guarantees some drop-off in Kamara's receiving numbers regardless of whether Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill is named the Saints starting quarterback. But drafting him as a high-upside No. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB10. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. 2022/07/02 . But I do not believe The Bus should be in the list of the top 40 RBs of all time. Never a good idea. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Jan 26 . At others, he made mistakes and was underused. He has good hands, but his route running hurt his opportunities to make clean catches against man-to-man coverage. It also must be remembered his journey through the NFL before that. Andrew Davenport: Fantasy managers are drafting Carter as though he is the unquestioned starter. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. J.D. There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Kansas City | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB17. Adrian . Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1.
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